Vietnam Economic Growth Report 2025

Comprehensive Analysis of Economic Performance and Future Prospects

Published December 2025
Q2 2025 Data
Last Updated: June 2025

Executive Summary

Vietnam's economy demonstrates exceptional resilience in 2025, with GDP growth reaching 7.96% in Q2 2025. The first half performance of 7.52% growth underscores the economy's robust momentum, driven primarily by services and manufacturing sectors.

While external challenges including global trade tensions and US tariff policies present headwinds, Vietnam's strong fundamentals—including record FDI inflows, low unemployment, and controlled inflation—position the economy for sustained development.

Key Economic Indicators 2025

7.96%
Q2 2025 GDP Growth
3.57%
June 2025 Inflation
2.20%
Q1 2025 Unemployment
$18.4B
FDI Registered Capital

GDP Growth Performance

2025 GDP Growth Forecasts

Source Forecast Status
World Bank 5.8% Conservative
Asian Development Bank (ADB) 5.5% Conservative
Government Target 8.3-8.5% Ambitious

Inflation Rate Details

Inflation remains well-controlled within safe parameters, staying below the 5% threshold throughout 2025.

Sectoral Analysis

Primary Growth Drivers

  • Services Sector: Major contributor to GDP growth
  • Manufacturing Sector: Maintains recovery and development trajectory
  • Export Industries: Continue as economic backbone

Challenges and Risk Factors

High Risk: Global Trade Tensions

Medium Risk: US Tariff Policies

Medium Risk: Geopolitical Instability

Historical Comparison

Year GDP Growth Key Events
2024 7.1% Post-pandemic recovery
2025 (Forecast) 5.5-8.5% Global trade tensions impact

Economic Outlook and Projections

Near-term Prospects (2025)

Vietnam's economy is expected to maintain solid growth despite global uncertainties. The government's target of 8.3-8.5% appears ambitious given international forecasts, but strong domestic fundamentals provide support.

Key Supporting Factors

  1. Robust FDI inflows: Indicating continued investor confidence
  2. Low unemployment: Supporting domestic consumption
  3. Controlled inflation: Maintaining purchasing power
  4. Export competitiveness: Despite trade challenges

Risk Mitigation Strategies

The Vietnamese government continues to implement policies to:

  • Diversify export markets
  • Strengthen domestic demand
  • Enhance economic resilience
  • Maintain macroeconomic stability

Export Report

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